Saturday, July 10, 2010

John Smiths Cup York 2010

Another top summer handicap today at York, the John Smith' s Cup (Magnet Cup). Imposing's gallant run at Ascot entitles him to be favourite but he does not look to have the necesssary turn of foot to triumph here. The obvious choice is the eyecatcher of all eyecatchers, Wigmore Hall, whose surging late charge at Ascot suggests he has the requirements to win a race of this nature. Allied to his superb seasonal debut on the Rowley mile, his handy weight and claiming jockey, he must have every chance. However this is evident to everyone, thus explaining his current low odds. I think it is 4/1 to get luck in running here, but have to admit that he is the most likely winner. Looking for value is difficult but it would be unwise to rule the chances of Sweet Lightning, Royal Destination and Kings Gambit, one of whom may go off at a value price.

Very much enjoyed the excellent fare at Newmarket's July meeting and thought Johnny Murtagh was brave in taking Starbangledbanner to the rail so early. I am sure the punters appreciated his nerve, but was a bit surprised to see him get a six day ban from the stewards. Very harsh for a race winning manoeuvre, particularly in a high profile Group 1.

good luck....

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